Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.234773 0.270192 0.308285 0.352197 0.401312 0.454447 0.516169
2026-01-11 0.177217 0.224830 0.280229 0.349009 0.431631 0.527189 0.645533
2026-01-18 0.136533 0.190020 0.257012 0.346008 0.459927 0.599561 0.782193
2026-01-25 0.106669 0.162243 0.236863 0.342384 0.485427 0.670000 0.923123
2026-02-01 0.084898 0.140584 0.220427 0.340034 0.510801 0.741429 1.071083
2026-02-08 0.068405 0.122935 0.206147 0.337672 0.534560 0.811584 1.222348
2026-02-15 0.055197 0.107466 0.192171 0.333028 0.553381 0.875275 1.368675
2026-02-22 0.046958 0.098389 0.186397 0.339502 0.588421 0.964021 1.556280
2026-03-01 0.038677 0.087403 0.175517 0.335877 0.606672 1.028360 1.711672
2026-03-08 0.032609 0.079206 0.167980 0.336439 0.630956 1.102836 1.886384
2026-03-15 0.026923 0.070454 0.157900 0.330943 0.644032 1.159839 2.036841
2026-03-22 0.024187 0.067377 0.158040 0.343698 0.689047 1.270816 2.278721
2026-03-29 0.021609 0.064181 0.157617 0.355622 0.734173 1.385962 2.536026
2026-04-05 0.018563 0.059132 0.152555 0.357884 0.761928 1.473655 2.753517
2026-04-12 0.015840 0.054192 0.146887 0.358127 0.785745 1.555893 2.966421
2026-04-19 0.013420 0.049392 0.140690 0.356384 0.805372 1.631722 3.172321
2026-04-26 0.011411 0.045180 0.135110 0.355148 0.825632 1.709612 3.385635
2026-05-03 0.009692 0.041312 0.129661 0.353415 0.844506 1.785804 3.599584
2026-05-10 0.008129 0.037427 0.123433 0.349016 0.857293 1.851109 3.797014
2026-05-17 0.007228 0.035537 0.122150 0.356014 0.894427 1.964372 4.086717
2026-05-24 0.006096 0.032383 0.116782 0.352396 0.908316 2.033499 4.298265
2026-05-31 0.005260 0.030059 0.113338 0.353077 0.931531 2.121931 4.549715
2026-06-07 0.004385 0.027201 0.107718 0.347406 0.939902 2.181135 4.748441